How hard would it be for Governor Gavin Newsom to miss tonight’s special election?
“It would simply take a giant riot among California Democrats,” said CNN’s John King, describing the political context in the state ahead of today’s revocation election.
“Let’s go back to history. 2018 Gavin Newsom wins the election with 62% of the vote. California is a predominantly blue state. Fast forward to 2020 and the presidential election … Joe Biden wins by an even higher percentage, from 63.5% to 34% for Donald Trump. California has an even greater number of votes that tend even more in favor of the Democrats, “explained King.” Not only should all Republicans stand up and vote against him, but many Democrats should also vote against him or stay on. home. It’s that perfect storm of riot among the Democrats it would take. The poll suggests it won’t happen, but we’ll be counting the votes in a while. “
King told CNN’s Anderson Cooper that populous counties are the ones to look at tonight to get an initial idea of where the results will go.
He pointed to Los Angeles County, the most populous county in the state that has “a huge share of the Democratic base.”
“Will you tell us, the Latins vote? What is the percentage? How many Democrats are saying, ‘Excuse me, Governor, we want to call you back.’ The largest county in the state will give us a good idea, “he said.
The second largest county, San Diego, is also worth keeping an eye on. “The Republicans or the recall supporters have to come here,” King explained.
Orange County is another key county to watch out for, “the recall supporters need an overwhelming turnout here. If tonight is blue, Gavin Newsom will remain in his tenure as governor.”
Smaller red counties are areas where recall candidates are expected to gain ground, King said.
“Do you see all these red counties? Most of them don’t have a lot of people in them. Only two, just two of California’s top ten counties in terms of population, have been redbacks in the run-up to the last governor. So the smaller counties, it’s just like the Trump election in 2020, not only do the recall supporters have to win these smaller red counties, the turnout has to be overwhelming, “he explained.
Check out John King’s analysis of Magic Wall here:
[ https://bbcbreakingnews.com/2021/09/15/follow-live-coverage-of-the-ca-recall/ https://d26toa8f6ahusa.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/30214746/a-quiet-place-part-2-bigs-16.pdf