The FBI released crime data for 2020 last week, using a merger of data collected in two different systems. Nothing in 2020 was predictable, and the nation saw a 5.6 percent increase in violent crime, including a 29.4 percent increase in homicides. Let’s explore this data and the theories behind the increase.
The overall homicide rate in 2020 was 6.5 per 100,000 population. This is the highest since the late 1990s, when crime in general and murder in particular started a downward trend. However, it is nowhere near the highs the nation suffered not long ago. The 2020 homicide rate of 6.5 per 100,000 is lower than it was at any time during the period from 1968 to 1997. From 1971 to 1995, the homicide rate fell twice below 8.0 per 100,000 inhabitants, from 1984 to 1985, when it was more than 7.9 per 100k.
Several factors can and should be considered relevant to the violent rise in 2020. Certainly, we as a society have experienced unprecedented and ever-changing conditions, including economic stressors known to be linked to violent crime. The change in law enforcement strategies across the country, called “de-policing” or something else, should be considered relevant.
Unsurprisingly, anti-gun radicals blamed the increase in arms sales long before there was blame to be placed. This will no doubt persist, even if the avowed anti-gun policy researcher, Dr. Garen Wintemute of UC Davis, has found no association between so-called “over-buying” of firearms and non-domestic violence. The association between alleged “over-shopping” and domestic violence was rather subject to model specification. We covered this research in a July 2021 notice. We noted, at the time, that Daniel Webster, president of Bloomberg at Bloomberg School of Public Health and director of the Center for Gun Violence Prevention and Policy, tried to make a positive change. the results of gun control.
Webster is at least open to the possibility (read: reality) that law-abiding gun owners aren’t the problem. Told a Washington Post that “it was too early to link the increase in arms sales to new owners with the increase in deaths from shootings”. He then mentioned the pandemic-related staff shortages in law enforcement and new rules or strategies limiting proactive policing.
This theory makes sense, far more sensible than the concept of a sudden increase in criminals obtaining weapons from federally licensed drug dealers and undergoing background checks (which is what transactions reported in NICS require). After all, we know where the criminals get their guns and it’s on the black market.
Thomas Abt, a senior member of the Council on Criminal Justice, gave his opinion on the rise in crime last year. Abt said Time magazine that “there is no new form of violence that emerged during the pandemic. It is an intensification of violence between these small groups of people in places that was already happening ”.
Imagine that. Criminals who escalate their behavior in the absence of a deterrent. This echoes the concerns that an increasingly diverse array of millions of Americans expressed over the course of 2020 by making the choice to acquire a firearm to protect themselves and loved ones.
Founded in 1975, the Institute for Legislative Action (ILA) is the lobbying arm of the National Rifle Association of America. The ILA is responsible for preserving the right of all law-abiding individuals in the legislative, political and legal arena to purchase, possess and use firearms for lawful purposes, as guaranteed by the Second Amendment to the United States Constitution. Visit: www.nra.org
Read more: https://www.ammoland.com/2021/10/fbi-crime-stats-for-2020-prove-do-policing-is-as-disastrous-as-it-sounds/#ixzz78LENaxKM
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